Cyprus Case Study
Consideration of species loss caused by expansion of energy centre
The main aim of this Case Study was to support informed decision-making for the implementation of Vasilikos Area Spatial Master Plan (VASMP). The VASMP foresees the expansion of the industrial activities of the energy centre and the creation of new infrastructure to ensure this and is expected these to have a negative impact on ecosystems (both terrestrial and marine), biodiversity and the environment (e.g., air quality, chemical and water pollution). This case study was successfully executed utilising selected GUARDEN tools, i.e. the Bird Sound Identification Tool, the Pl@ntNet App, the Future Scenario Tool and the Decision Support Application (Dashboard). Using these means, the case study provided a method/ tool to retrieve and process environmental and biodiversity information in urban planning, providing an easier and more objective tool to be used in the decision-making process by end users.
GUARDEN Tools Utilised
Aves Echo (Bird Sound Identification Tool)
The case study focused on the pilot implementation of acoustic monitoring of avifauna to test the feasibility of implementing the species audio identification algorithms, as a valuable supplement to the conventional ornithological monitoring approach based on human observations, which is the current practice in Cyprus bird monitoring. Four sensors were installed, in summer and autumn, to collect all sounds of the environment, covering the birds’ migration. For the purposes of the project, Naturalis Biodiversity Center implemented a bulk analysis of the passive acoustic monitoring (PAM) sound collections to investigate the patterns of occurrence of bird vocalisations. Some of the bird sounds identified had low confidence score due to the noise pollution coming from industrial activities. 127 recordings with high confidence score, resulted from the four sensors where this number refers to 54 unique bird species. This information was included in the Integrated GUARDEN System/Decision Support Application (DSA) as part of the biodiversity observations.
Pl@ntNet is a citizen science platform that uses artificial intelligence (AI) to facilitate the identification and inventory of plant species. It is one of the world’s largest biodiversity observatories, with several million contributors in over 200 countries. Within this case study, experts established a total of 60 plots (3 x 10-plot transects per habitat) and uploaded a photo per plot accompanied with species identification and additional information to help train the Pl@ntNet tool. A total of 57 taxa were included in the Pl@ntNet App. Pl@ntNet successfully identified alien (non-native), ornamental and planted species, invasive plants, as well as native species with wide distribution. Lower accuracy or no match was recorded for endemic taxa. All recordings regarding flora, using the described protocol, were included in the Integrated GUARDEN System/Decision Support Application (DSA) as part of the biodiversity observations.
The Dashboard, as part of the biodiversity observations, also included available plant species identified and photographed by citizens who made new entries from Vasilikos area through the Pl@ntNet platform.
GeoPl@ntNet is an interactive web application designed to make Essential Biodiversity Variables accessible and understandable to all, through dynamic maps and fact sheets. In the Cyprus case study, stakeholders provided information to allow the creation of high-resolution, AI-generated maps of predictions in plant species distribution and habitats, as well as biodiversity indicators at the area of study. The indicators and maps were included in the DSA.
Ecosystem Services Mapping and Future Trajectories
An integrated approach toward defining the future trajectories of biodiversity and ecosystem services (ES) was designed to assess and visualize the current and potential future states of biodiversity and ES. The stakeholders provided the information needed for the development of maps which illustrated how development plans may influence habitat quality, particularly in and around areas where new infrastructure was planned. The InVEST Habitat Quality Model (HQM) was used to assess current and future habitat quality. The future scenarios assessed included: (a) Business-As-Usual Scenario for current activities within the wider zone of Vasilikos area of economic growth and (b) Development Scenario for the extent and intensity of the areas impacted in terms of biodiversity and ES, during the implementation of the Master Plan and the full operation of the energy centre, as the area surrounding the core infrastructure was severely affected. The results were included in the DSA.
The tool focused on detecting and monitoring land use and land cover (LULC) changes, as well as vegetation dynamics over time, through the integration of satellite imagery, remote sensing techniques, and machine learning methodologies. The stakeholders provided the information needed for the development of maps and the results were included in the DSA.
Integrated GUARDEN System – Decision Support Application
The GUARDEN Integrated Decision Support Application (DSA) is a comprehensive platform designed to support environmental monitoring and decision-making. The results of all tools used for the Cyprus case study were presented in this Application and are available for use by end-users.
Key Objectives
01
Collection of information, clarification of inaccuracies and evaluation of the proposed activities of the VASMP
02
Impact evaluation of the proposed activities at the energy centre on the ecological and biological conditions in a wider area, which extends over the limits of the industrial zone of Vasilikos area.
03
Collection of information, clarification of inaccuracies and evaluation of the proposed activities of the VASMP
04
Evaluation of the activities/plans already implemented and monitor the efficiency of the proposed and/or implemented measures
05
Assist decision making and put in place green and blue initiatives to help minimize the adverse effects of climate change and anthropogenic activities on urban ecosystems
Key Stakeholders
- Game and Fauna Service
- Department of Environment
- Department of Forests
- Water Development Department
- Cyprus Scientific and Technical Chamber [the Technical Advisor of the State and Citizens and the umbrella organization for all Cypriot Engineers]
- Department of Town Planning and Housing
- Business stakeholders
- Department of Fisheries and Marine Research
- Federation of Environmental Organizations of Cyprus [an umbrella organization for environmental advocacy NGOs active in Cyprus]
- Other NGOs like TERRA CYPRIA and Birdlife Cyprus
Benefits from the GUARDEN Project
- Improvement of current knowledge on biodiversity (mostly flora, avifauna and habitat types) at local stage.
- Improvement of GUARDEN tools.
- Development of future scenarios to assess the impact of Vasilikos energy centre expansion on biodiversity.
- All information from the Cyprus case study, integrated in GUARDEN tools, was included on the customised Cyprus DSA for the use by stakeholders for future urban planning and decision making, taking into consideration its impact on biodiversity.




